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As the 2024 election approaches, a critical question emerges: how worried are voters about potential tampering? We asked a group of Americans how they felt & this is what they told us.
Overall
When asked about concerns regarding election tampering in the upcoming election, nearly half of the respondents (48%) indicated high levels of concern, marking a 4 or 5 out on a five-point scale. This substantial figure highlights a significant portion of the population who are either very concerned or extremely concerned about the integrity of the electoral process.
In contrast, 29% of respondents expressed low levels of concern, marking a 1 or 2 on a five-point scale, which includes those who are either not very concerned or not concerned at all. This division in levels of concern underscores the varying degrees of trust and apprehension about election security among the electorate, reflecting a notable tension within the public discourse on this critical issue.
Political Affiliation
The political breakdown of concerns about election tampering reveals stark contrasts among different affiliations. A significant 66% of Republicans fall into the 'Top 2 Box' category, indicating a high level of concern, compared to 41% of Democrats and 42% of Independents. This suggests that Republicans are considerably more apprehensive about election integrity than their Democrat and Independent counterparts.
On the flip side, the 'Bottom 2 Box' category, which reflects low levels of concern, is dominated by Democrats at 38%, followed by Independents at 31%. Interestingly, only 13% of Republicans express low concern, highlighting a significant partisan divide on this issue.
This data underscores how political affiliation heavily influences perceptions of election security, with Republicans demonstrating markedly higher anxiety about potential tampering in the upcoming election compared to Democrats and Independents.
Age
The age breakdown of concerns about election tampering reveals a relatively consistent level of high concern across different age groups, with the 'Top 2 Box' percentages hovering around the mid-to-high 40s. Those aged 45-64 express the highest concern at 51%, while the 18-24 and 65+ groups show slightly lower concern at 47% and 44%, respectively.
In the 'Bottom 2 Box' category, reflecting lower concern, the youngest age group (18-24) is the least concerned at 23%, while concern gradually increases with age, peaking at 35% among those 65 and older. This trend suggests that older individuals are more divided on the issue, with a significant portion expressing minimal concern about election tampering.
Income
The income breakdown of concerns about election tampering reveals a reasonably consistent level of high concern across different income brackets. Those earning $20,000 - $39,999 exhibit the highest level of concern with 51% in the 'Top 2 Box', closely followed by the $40,000 - $59,999 bracket at 50%, and the $60,000 - $99,999 bracket at 49%. The lowest concern is seen in both the under $20,000 and $100,000+ brackets, each at 46%.
Regarding lower concern levels, represented by the 'Bottom 2 Box', the highest income group ($100,000+) shows the most apprehension at 32%. The other income brackets have similar levels of low concern, ranging from 27% to 29%.
This data indicates that while high concern about election tampering is widespread across all income levels, those with the highest and lowest incomes show slightly less concern than middle-income earners.
Panel
This breakdown reflects the overall response of the various panels, presenting the strong differences across the board. The most notable difference is between Panel F and Panel M. Panel F shows the highest level of concern at 59% in the 'Top 2 Box', indicating strong apprehension about election integrity. In contrast, Panel M has the lowest level of high concern at 44%, creating a striking 15% gap between these two panels.
In terms of low concern, Panel M stands out again with the highest percentage in the 'Bottom 2 Box' at 40%, while Panel F has the lowest at 23%. This 17% difference highlights the contrasting levels of skepticism and concern about election tampering between these two groups. Overall, these figures underscore the significant disparity in how different panels perceive the threat of election tampering, with Panel F being the most worried and Panel M the least concerned.
It's important to note just how much a quality data sample can impact the outcome of your research. This is presented visually here. At EMI, we prioritize strategically blending sample sources to balance demographics as well as behaviors and attitudes to ensure that we provide the most representative and accurate data.
Download The Sample Landscape: 2024 Edition to understand better how panels differ from one another and how they impact your data.
